News Focus
Is the GHG Laden Sky Falling Down?
When the price of NSW Greenhouse Abatement Certificates (NGACs) fell from a high
of $14 in early 2007 to languish below $6 in October, The Demand Manager set out to explore
what was really happening.
According to media reports, the blame for the fall in the price of carbon has
been placed variously on the Federal Government; the NSW Government; NSW electricity retailers
and/or the Scheme Administrator, IPART.
Analysis of the Scheme’s performance to date, however, shows that the
proliferation of light-bulb and showerhead hand-out programs has created a glut of carbon credits
leading to the dramatic price reductions.
In summary, the facts show 7.4 million more NGACs were created than were
required to meet the Scheme’s target in 2007. Leading the growth spurt in 2006 were light-bulb
and showerhead hand-out programs run by companies like Easy Being Green and Fieldforce. These
projects grew explosively in 2006, rising from less than 1 million NGACs in 2005 to over 8.3 million
NGACs in 2006.
The figures also raise questions about the effectiveness of these
‘hand-out’ style programs. Figures from the Scheme Administrator show that some 18
million compact fluorescent bulbs and 2 million AAA-rated showerheads were distributed in 2006
– raising the very real possibility that the market for these technologies has been saturated.
There is only a finite supply of light-sockets and showers in NSW that can be retro-fitted, yet the
likes of Easy Being Green are claiming there is much work to be done.
The full analysis of the figures can be found on the website, here.
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